The TGA drawdown was further exacerbated by the termination of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio ( SLR) waivers ended at the end of March, the G-SIB large banks dis eschewed the trouble those deposits bring to their capital ratio calculations. We also said that most of these funds will flow to the newly enhanced Fed O/N RRP facility, the likely destination for these funds which need to find a home. We wrote about the systemic liquidity tightening in the face of announced, sharp drawdowns in the Treasury General Account balance from what was $1.6 trillion early when we last wrote about it, to less than $500Billion by end of June 2021.
In this month’s PAM article on equity markets, we highlighted the primary risk to the financial markets at present as coming from the repo markets. Robert is a member of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), U.S.A. Robert wrote a book on the Elliott Wave Principle in 1988, which has been hailed by the London Society of Technical Analysts as best ever book written on the subject.
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He joined Diapason Commodities Management (CH) in Lausanne in 2008 as senior market strategist, and subsequently Chief Market Strategist, utilizing fundamental macroeconomic drivers and structural/technical data in modeling asset price and sector movements. Robert wrote FX analysis and capital markets commentary for Saxo Bank (Denmark) in the early 2000s. Robert returned to Switzerland in 2004 as head of technical research and strategy, and FX market analyst for Swiss Life Asset Management in Zurich. A stint at Bank of America as head of global technical research followed in late 1990s to the early 2000s. He worked for Swiss Bank Corp and Union Bank of Switzerland (precursors of today's new UBS) as head of technical research in various finance centers (London, New York, and subsequently, head of prop trading at SBC in Toronto ) from the late 1980s to mid-1990s. Robert wrote a very high profile daily FX analysis while Geneva-based (Lloyds Bank Int'l) in the mid-1980s (the first FX commentary with a real global readership, "most accessed" in the Reuters and Telerate networks from 1988 to 1994). Robert made a switch to global macro focus in the early 1980 when the commodity bull market waned, with specialization in foreign exchange. Education in Mining Engineering, Computer Science & Engineering, M.S in Quantitative Finance, and training in Economics led to a commodity analysis career during the commodity boom of the early 1970s. Robert Balan has 5 decades of experience in the financial markets. PAM trades Swiss HF funds using Federal Reserve, US Treasury, and term (money) market liquidity data flows as basis for trading decisions. Balan runs Predictive Analytic Models, #1-rated trading unit at Seeking Alpha.
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